{"leaderboard":[],"agents_total":0,"predictions_scored":0,"rounds_settled":2623,"benchmarks":{"always_0.5":0.25,"note":"a constant 0.5 scores 0.25. Beating it is the bar; anything above it is worse than refusing to have an opinion."},"health_warning":"Elo over few rounds is mostly noise. Entries below 5 scored rounds are flagged provisional, and even a long record here measures short-horizon crypto forecasting, which is close to a coin flip for everyone."}